How To Time The Upcoming Market Crash? | NIFTY-50 Crash 2024

We have seen very strong rallies in equity markets across the world right through 2023! We are now in 2024 but there are no signs these rallies are about to slow down anytime soon. But wouldn’t it be nice if there were a way to scientifically predict as to how long these rallies are likely to go on for and at what point are they likely to fizzle out? That’s precisely what we discuss in our latest video, where we try to consolidate our learnings from the last three episodes of this series to explore an investment strategy that can potentially help navigate this on-going rally right up to the eventual “market peak”, and also help reliably get out before a material correction kicks in. Do listen in… this is gonna be one helluva episode!

The three market inflection points and parameters that form the basis of this investment strategy were first discussed in three earlier video, and are as follows:

1. Balance in the Reverse Repo Facility (RRP)
Discussed in detail in the video available at    • Reverse Repo (RRP) | Gas Tank Fueling...  
Data on RRP can be found at:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/RR...

2. Peak in Fed Funds Rate (FFR)
Discussed in detail in the video available at    • Fed Funds Rate Has Peaked - How Far A...  
Data on FFR can be found at:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FE...

3. Yield Curve Inversion
Discussed in detail in the video available at    • Yield Curve Has Inverted | Most Relia...  
Data on the Yield Curve can be found at:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/T1...
(Yield curve is negative right now i.e. as of 14 Apr 2024… once the value of the Yield curve data available on the above URL turns positive, that’s the point the Yield Curve would be said to have “un-inverted”)

Chapters:
00:00 Teaser
01:06 Introduction
02:42 Market Timing Parameter #1 – The Reverse Repo Facility (or the RRP)
15:16 Market Timing Parameter #2 – Peak in Fed Funds Rate (FFR)
27:11 Market Timing Parameter #3 – Yield Curve Inversion
42:21 Building Strategy to Time the Market Peak
45:22 Disclaimer

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Reverse Repo ( RRP ) | Fed Funds Rate | Yield Curve Inversion

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