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While I don’t think this is a likely scenario, a limited nuclear exchange on the following targets:

* RAF Fylingdales in North Yorkshire
* HMNB Clyde - Royal Navy
* RAF Lakenheath
* HMNB Portsmouth
* Fawley Refinery
* Stanlow refinery
* Port of Felixstowe
* Port of Immingham
* London Docklands area
* Equinix LD5: located in Slough, UK

Might create the conditions to generate a humanitarian crisis in the UK. As countries shift their forces to aid the UK, less rolling stock and material support are available to support Ukraine. This could set the conditions for a Russian victory in the Donbas region and could result in political hegemony in Easter Europe.

I also believe that a NATO retaliatory strike would be likely and Russia would not survive this gambit.

Credit to Atomic Tests Channel for the nuclear footage:
   / atom3196  

Nukemap can be reached here:
https://nuclearsecrecy.com/nukemap/

Very Bad Things (1998) Copyright Polygram

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