Slides and other course materials at https://github.com/rmcelreath/stat_re...

Pause music:    • Cozy Winter ❄️ [lofi hip hop/study be...  

Outline
00:00 Introduction
02:38 Generative model
08:42 The Garden of Forking Data
23:48 Bayesian updating
31:31 Probability
36:26 Testing
44:35 Pause
45:15 Infinite possibilities and the beta distribution
56:05 Posterior distributions
1:04:30 Sampling and prediction
1:14:10 Summary
1:17:29 Bonus Round: Misclassification