Why It's So Hard To Predict Where China's Latest Piece Of Space Junk Will Land
Scott Manley Scott Manley
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 Published On May 8, 2021

According to the simulations the 23 ton core booster for the Long March 5B will likely enter earth's atmosphere and mostly burn up in the next 24 hours, but knowing where and when is still impossible. The prediction window is still 12 hours long leaving a lot of uncertainty as to where it might end up. Most likely it'll end up in the ocean, but there's a 30% chance of it dropping debris on land.

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