This video is an introduction to the foresight practice of scanning. It focuses on the key differences between Environmental Scanning and Horizon Scanning. It also covers the differences between different schools of thought in looking for forces of change in the environment, the conceptual frameworks often used in scanning (STEEP, STEEPV, PESTEL, etc.), and Emerging Issues Analysis. The video is also available in article format:   / scanning-explained-environmental-scanning-...  

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SELECTED REFERENCES
Environmental Scanning and Horizon Scanning:
Aguilar (1967). Scanning the Business Environment.

Cairns & Wright (2018). Scenario thinking: Preparing your organization for the future in an unpredictable world: https://www.palgrave.com/gp/book/9783...

Chermack (2011). Scenario planning in organizations: How to create, use, and assess scenarios: https://www.amazon.com/Scenario-Plann...

Conway (2009). Environmental Scanning: https://socialenterprise.us/wp-conten...

Conway (2016). Foresight Infused Strategy: https://www.amazon.com/Foresight-Infu...

Cuhls (2019). Horizon Scanning in Foresight – Why Horizon Scanning is only a part of the game: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/f...

Day & Schoemaker (2005). Scanning the Periphery: https://hbr.org/2005/11/scanning-the-...

Delaney & Osborne (2013). Public sector horizon scanning – stocktake of the Australasian Joint Agencies Scanning Network: https://jfsdigital.org/articles-and-e...

Hines et al. (2018). Setting Up a Horizon Scanning System: A U.S. Federal Agency
Example: https://www.fs.usda.gov/treesearch/pu...

Loveridge (2008). Foresight: The Art and Science of Anticipating the Future: https://www.amazon.com/Foresight-Art-...

Miles & Saritas (2012). The depth of the horizon: searching, scanning and widening horizons: https://www.emerald.com/insight/conte...

Miles et al. (2016). Foresight for Science, Technology and Innovation: https://www.springer.com/gp/book/9783...

Padbury (2020). An Overview of the Horizons Foresight Method: Using the “Inner Game” of Foresight to Build System-Based Scenarios: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/...

Rowe et al. (2017). Enhancing horizon scanning by utilizing pre-developed scenarios: Analysis of current practice and specification of a process improvement to aid the identification of important ‘weak signals’: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science...

Sardar (2014). Future: All that Matters: https://www.amazon.com/Future-That-Ma...

Sarits & Smith (2011). The Big Picture – trends, drivers, wild cards, discontinuities and weak signals: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science...

Webb (2018). The Signals Are Talking: Why Today's Fringe Is Tomorrow's Mainstream: https://www.amazon.com/Signals-Are-Ta...

Wilson & Ralston (2006). Scenario Planning Handbook: Developing Strategies in Uncertain Times: https://www.amazon.com/Scenario-Plann...

Emerging Issues Analysis:
Dator (2009). Trend Analysis vs Emerging Issues Analysis: http://www.futures.hawaii.edu/publica...

Dator (2018). Emerging Issues Analysis: Because of Graham Molitor: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full...

Molitor (2010). Timeline 22-Step Model for Tracking and Forecasting Public Policy Change:
https://jfsdigital.org/articles-and-e...

Molitor (2017). The Molitor Model of Change: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/...


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